# Green Card Lottery – Visa Not Guaranteed

Hi ZS, assuming that whether or not one wins or loses on one scratch ticket (what is that, in either case?) is independent from winning or losing on any other scratch ticket, you treat each event as a self-sufficient event. Laws of probability tell us to multiply the various probabilities of independent ordeals. It appears that the probability of [losing] on any particular scratch ticket must be 2/3. Prevails the possibility of [losing] on 30 scratch tickets one after (if that is what your is actually asking) should be (2/3)^30 = approximately 0.2 x 10^-6, which is about.0000052, or 52 via 10 million, which amounts to 1 chance out of 192,307.

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